PolyBot

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Traders

HiroshiTana

0xa78dafe362d4d3a1977ddf01cb077970e2606b41

Realised P&L
$-40.35
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$7.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-07 06:22Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.006$1.00
03-07 06:22Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.005$1.00
03-07 06:22Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0079870787$1.00
03-07 06:21Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0040745811$1.00
03-07 06:21Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.005$1.00
03-07 06:21Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.003$1.00
03-07 06:21Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0045849213$1.00
03-07 06:21Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0031326358$1.00
03-05 09:47Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9AM ETBUY0.5$4.00
02-18 02:38Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
02-17 02:27Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
02-11 23:37Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9AM ETBUY0.5099999953$27.00
02-05 13:06Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.1699999609$2.97
02-03 10:51Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.39408867$10.00
02-01 11:19Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7AM ETBUY0.5099999786$10.00