HiroshiTana
0xa78dafe362d4d3a1977ddf01cb077970e2606b41
- Realised P&L
- $-40.35
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $7.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.66at 0.352Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$4.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9AM ET
- +$1.92at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-07 06:22 | Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 06:22 | Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 06:22 | Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0079870787 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 06:21 | Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0040745811 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 06:21 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 06:21 | Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 06:21 | Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0045849213 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 06:21 | Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0031326358 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 09:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 02-18 02:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 02-17 02:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 02-11 23:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999953 | $27.00 |
| 02-05 13:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $2.97 |
| 02-03 10:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.39408867 | $10.00 |
| 02-01 11:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |