StylishSentinel
0xa6db1ad30ae1efdb97d90ef4545fbcfda25b8881
- Realised P&L
- $24.68
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $252.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.465 | $92.62 | −$4.98 |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.675 | $78.58 | +$0.58 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.185 | $57.42 | −$17.61 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No | 0.190 | 0.105 | $13.82 | −$11.18 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.190 | 0.145 | $7.34 | −$2.28 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.005 | $2.96 | −$6.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.07at 0.490Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$6.88at 0.420Will Trump say "Russia" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$-34.27at 0.307Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:44 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2141052177 | $26.42 |
| 09-21 11:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.14 | $27.97 |
| 09-21 09:24 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999997 | $78.00 |
| 09-21 05:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1899999991 | $25.00 |
| 09-18 11:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.2983657694 | $59.61 |
| 09-18 08:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999987 | $97.60 |
| 09-18 05:31 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999993 | $48.61 |
| 09-18 05:13 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0162374959 | $9.62 |
| 09-18 05:09 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.4799999984 | $49.01 |
| 09-17 16:40 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $9.62 |
| 09-16 18:44 | Will Trump say "Russia" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.409999984 | $4.86 |