PolyBot

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Traders

Teshub

0xa5d3be6c4ef51b9e5f69b21be3e8c4a692c4a6c6

Realised P&L
$14.2k
Volume
$214.6k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.7430.998$1.9k+$474.79
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.1280.085$268.18−$135.98
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? · No0.9500.977$79.20+$2.19
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? · No0.9500.976$7.29+$0.19
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? · No0.9300.958$4.79+$0.14
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00−$47.40
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00−$82.00
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$65.87
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$1.4k
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$4.25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$40.93
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00−$136.96
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00−$49.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 09:51Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.67$129.98
10-31 09:50Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?SELL0.981$129.66
10-27 09:44Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.72$192.24
10-27 09:03Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.959$192.01
10-27 06:22Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.7$14.70
10-26 15:24Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.769893125$492.73
10-26 15:22Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.76$390.57
10-26 13:47Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.7570971429$26.50
10-26 11:39Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.72$23.76
10-26 11:33Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.72$53.28
10-26 10:49Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.71$59.64
10-25 22:24Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.895$8.05
10-25 22:23Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.8997873099$75.73
10-25 22:17Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.9258247391$118.86
10-25 22:15Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.9197700828$174.38