Teshub
0xa5d3be6c4ef51b9e5f69b21be3e8c4a692c4a6c6
- Realised P&L
- $14.1k
- Volume
- $197.8k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.3kat 0.167Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.4kat 0.504Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?
- +$1.8kat 0.543Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
- +$1.2kat 0.330Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.005Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:49 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.889 | $183.33 |
| 08-05 03:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.17 | $37.40 |
| 08-05 03:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.57 | $297.91 |
| 08-03 13:20 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August? | BUY | 0.79 | $47.40 |
| 08-03 13:17 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in August? | BUY | 0.62 | $65.09 |
| 08-03 02:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.44 | $96.80 |
| 08-03 02:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.7691557057 | $173.09 |
| 08-02 02:42 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $124.24 |
| 08-02 02:41 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.10 |
| 08-02 02:41 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $77.01 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 07-31 14:14 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.0200766957 | $30.63 |
| 07-31 14:13 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.0211263232 | $0.30 |
| 07-31 13:49 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.026 | $15.73 |
| 07-31 13:34 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.07 |