PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ROOKIE

0xa58b3083d7d296221bf96f7565914f3121e6ef84

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$242.7k
Markets traded
1,003
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,003
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · Yes0.4700.345$345.00$125.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.6800.885$176.99+$41.00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8000.865$173.00+$13.00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8800.865$172.99$3.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.855$171.00+$41.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · Yes0.2800.155$155.00$125.00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.725$145.00$19.00
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7300.705$141.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · Yes0.0090.007$139.99$39.84
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3680.512$128.12+$36.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · Yes0.0290.013$124.99$170.97
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6100.595$119.00$3.00
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.7800.995$99.45+$21.45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.8300.989$98.88+$15.90
Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat? · No0.9480.988$98.75+$3.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 15:45Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersBUY0.999$49.95
09-10 19:51Spread: Manchester United FC (-3.5)SELL0.214339$42.87
09-10 19:22Spread: Manchester United FC (-3.5)BUY0.66$132.00
09-10 19:17Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.009$4.86
09-10 19:16Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.034$20.72
08-30 14:15Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5BUY0.59$59.00
08-29 16:36Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.67$67.00
08-23 17:26Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY0.791$39.55
08-23 16:58Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)BUY0.19$19.00
08-12 15:49Todi: Filippo Romano vs Juan Bautista TorresBUY0.49$49.00
08-08 17:38Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?BUY0.948$94.80
08-02 13:47Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel DebruBUY0.299$29.90
08-01 17:23National Bank Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lin ZhuBUY0.32$32.00
07-25 05:27Antigua GFC vs. CD Marquense: O/U 7.5 Total CornersBUY0.2428571429$8.50
07-25 04:33Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 9.5 Total CornersBUY0.55$2.75