PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ROOKIE

0xa58b3083d7d296221bf96f7565914f3121e6ef84

Realised P&L
$858.38
Volume
$242.3k
Markets traded
1,003
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,003
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.964$192.80+$28.80
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.6800.925$184.99+$49.00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8800.922$184.49+$8.50
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8000.915$183.00+$23.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.905$181.00+$51.00
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7300.705$141.00−$5.00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6100.565$113.00−$9.00
Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat? · No0.9480.999$99.85+$5.05
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9070.988$98.75+$8.05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5600.969$96.85+$40.85
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.961$96.05+$51.05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3680.374$93.62+$1.58
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.4290.878$87.80+$44.90
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5400.305$61.00−$47.00
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.8000.250$50.00−$110.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 15:45Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersBUY0.999$49.95
09-10 19:51Spread: Manchester United FC (-3.5)SELL0.214339$42.87
09-10 19:22Spread: Manchester United FC (-3.5)BUY0.66$132.00
09-10 19:17Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.009$4.86
09-10 19:16Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.034$20.72
08-30 14:15Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5BUY0.59$59.00
08-29 16:36Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.67$67.00
08-23 17:26Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY0.791$39.55
08-23 16:58Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)BUY0.19$19.00
08-12 15:49Todi: Filippo Romano vs Juan Bautista TorresBUY0.49$49.00
08-08 17:38Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?BUY0.948$94.80
08-02 13:47Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel DebruBUY0.299$29.90
08-01 17:23National Bank Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lin ZhuBUY0.32$32.00
07-25 05:27Antigua GFC vs. CD Marquense: O/U 7.5 Total CornersBUY0.2428571429$8.50
07-25 04:33Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 9.5 Total CornersBUY0.55$2.75