roxzor
0xa57b7c2a33a165c10e0b050bc203b008211832dd
- Realised P&L
- $-140.61
- Volume
- $99.0k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $25.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.50at 0.008Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
- +$43.22at 0.206Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
- +$27.80at 0.120Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
- +$13.42at 0.012Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
- +$9.72at 0.116GPT ads by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 04:15 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 10:51 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 10:51 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 05:45 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 05:45 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 05:45 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 05:44 | Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 05:44 | Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 05:44 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 05:44 | Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 19:33 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 05-05 18:53 | Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0189789334 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 18:52 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 18:51 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 18:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |