Rougrot
0xa4e380c8e86477cf3918826aab29ada08a46b39e
- Realised P&L
- $-889.44
- Volume
- $187.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,054
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,054
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$355.36at 0.718Heat vs. Hornets
- +$182.77at 0.740LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs
- +$173.10at 0.918Nuggets vs. Spurs
- +$157.94at 0.686Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
- +$149.12at 0.823Timberwolves vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 02:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6029999962 | $36.83 |
| 10-02 00:10 | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.8929713914 | $13.73 |
| 10-02 00:08 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.977 | $23.80 |
| 09-29 04:09 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.1469999979 | $8.59 |
| 09-29 04:07 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.7287260035 | $8.35 |
| 09-27 20:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5789999998 | $208.05 |
| 09-27 20:22 | LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $188.48 |
| 09-27 19:52 | LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs | BUY | 0.529999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 19:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.578 | $81.68 |
| 09-27 18:39 | LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 18:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.574 | $82.77 |
| 09-27 17:30 | LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 16:55 | Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 16:51 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 16:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.572 | $41.66 |