PolyBot

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Traders

GamblingDino

0xa41f137a7fb14b2d5b3911cd890907053cb8b397

Realised P&L
$38.70
Volume
$150.3k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$14.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9280.958$3.9k+$119.78
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9290.935$3.6k+$21.21
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9600.997$2.8k+$102.09
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.9550.998$2.2k+$93.60
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9410.960$959.50+$18.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5700.165$688.89$1.7k
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8590.875$497.65+$9.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 05:23Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.964$40.49
07-13 05:22Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? BUY0.87$119.19
07-04 14:22Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? BUY0.8550609163$369.16
07-04 14:20Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.965$973.14
07-01 14:31Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.96$92.16
07-01 14:30Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.94$1.4k
07-01 14:28Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.959$274.27
07-01 14:22China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.93$3.5k
06-20 08:36Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.961$44.21
06-17 06:48Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9492737177$334.60
06-17 06:47Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9468178151$206.53
06-17 06:46US military draft authorized in 2026?SELL0.0763854688$363.93
06-14 15:28Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.966$21.25
06-14 15:27Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9699617677$1.7k
06-14 15:27Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.968$80.20