PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MPS1234

0xa4059f96534562774c7428f32bf9b68cb3166734

Realised P&L
$-64.15
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$20.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8330.950$6.84+$0.84
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD? · Yes0.0790.082$3.09+$0.09
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.7900.935$2.37+$0.37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8400.930$2.21+$0.21
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? · Yes0.9300.974$2.09+$0.09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2900.155$1.60−$1.40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7100.930$1.31+$0.31
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9490.965$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 12:27Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?BUY0.9299998419$2.00
09-20 12:22Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?BUY0.0789999991$3.00
09-20 12:17Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.75$3.00
06-28 14:08Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.479999952$2.00
06-28 14:08Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.08$2.00
06-28 14:08Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
06-28 14:07Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.579999826$1.00
06-20 19:32Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
06-20 19:31Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
06-20 19:30Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
06-15 05:29Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
06-15 05:28Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
06-15 05:27Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.77$2.00
06-15 05:26Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.64$5.00
06-15 05:25Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7199995392$1.00