0xa2bfAb0E906bCAa89dc5995FBA26fbaD7B252238-1767908362125
0xa2bfab0e906bcaa89dc5995fba26fbad7b252238
- Realised P&L
- $176.82
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 341
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded341
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.00at 0.510Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$86.00at 0.520Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
- +$79.30at 0.513Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$56.52at 0.703Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$54.70at 0.453Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 21:54 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 09-09 20:34 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.754792 | $75.48 |
| 09-08 12:28 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.6915 | $69.15 |
| 09-03 21:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.79 |
| 09-03 21:48 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 09-03 21:39 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 10:23 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $58.10 |
| 08-29 10:22 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 08-29 10:06 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 08-29 09:59 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 08-20 14:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299072117 | $60.00 |
| 07-19 21:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7225 | $36.13 |
| 07-19 20:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 07-19 20:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 19:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |