PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xA1bab665c4E11BC5A42e98e021f667a7c25a76FF-1782128972890

0xa1bab665c4e11bc5a42e98e021f667a7c25a76ff

Realised P&L
$-8.34
Volume
$946.33
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$146.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8800.925$42.05+$2.05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9420.962$30.62+$0.62
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · Yes0.8010.885$27.62+$2.62
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.959$21.07+$1.07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.835$10.71+$0.71
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? · No0.7800.695$8.91$1.09
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.2300.070$3.04$6.96
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8000.870$2.17+$0.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 06:00Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?BUY0.7799999891$10.00
09-11 00:26Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.37$13.67
09-02 00:43Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
08-26 23:48NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-21 08:39Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?BUY0.8057237012$10.00
08-20 14:34NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7824783461$15.00
08-14 11:31Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
08-14 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
08-14 10:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-11 00:28Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5599999989$20.00
08-08 08:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?BUY0.91$10.00
08-06 04:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6669999889$10.00
08-05 12:58Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?BUY0.7979999565$15.00
07-17 11:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7799999548$10.00
07-09 05:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.95$19.00