AYYOFAM
0xa0ec86c999e494944b8c01b501c4ec1fad8b9e9c
- Realised P&L
- $-325.41
- Volume
- $317.9k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.917 | 0.955 | $587.37 | +$23.38 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.859 | 0.954 | $555.01 | +$55.01 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.567 | 0.585 | $175.49 | +$5.50 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.996 | $99.55 | +$3.65 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.225 | $20.25 | −$23.85 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.075 | $9.06 | −$8.46 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$164.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights · Hurricanes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.59at 0.703Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$91.34at 0.377Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
- +$69.00at 0.330Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$51.28at 0.983Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
- +$44.00at 0.620Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 17:54 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.57 | $113.99 |
| 09-11 17:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.8538572806 | $221.36 |
| 08-23 16:32 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8589999994 | $500.00 |
| 08-23 16:30 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999969 | $200.00 |
| 08-23 16:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $363.67 |
| 08-14 05:00 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $153.00 |
| 08-14 05:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.27 | $45.00 |
| 08-05 17:47 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $229.35 |
| 08-01 19:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 19:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 19:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.64 | $70.00 |
| 08-01 19:34 | Will Marco Rubio say "NATO" during Fox News: My View appearance? | SELL | 0.57 | $24.70 |
| 08-01 17:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $70.00 |
| 07-18 18:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $149.65 |
| 07-18 13:46 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $95.90 |