baek-ahjin
0xa0c4e14d3d21f197e7d59b73c4ccafbf9815978f
- Realised P&L
- $29.3k
- Volume
- $3.60M
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $20.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.3kat 0.003Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$12.1kat 0.430Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$7.0kat 0.242Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.325Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$5.2kat 0.314Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 17:47 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY | 0.3071798333 | $855.67 |
| 05-06 01:04 | Lakers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.82 | $911.02 |
| 04-30 20:17 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.961 | $8.1k |
| 04-30 01:15 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.9k |
| 04-28 13:27 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.1k |
| 04-28 13:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.9k |
| 04-28 12:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1 | $250.00 |
| 04-28 12:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1 | $42.20 |
| 04-21 23:09 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1497591388 | $129.96 |
| 04-21 17:28 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY | 0.15 | $334.74 |
| 04-21 16:55 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.07 | $35.38 |
| 04-21 02:49 | Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.28 | $892.92 |
| 04-21 02:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.0k |
| 04-20 23:47 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.69 |
| 04-18 20:56 | Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.31 | $1.3k |