Orthotropics-Fund
0xa0762b719ace41040dd69942b274a59038d5cf22
- Realised P&L
- $554.24
- Volume
- $25.3k
- Markets traded
- 258
- Open portfolio
- $991.93
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded258
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$236.08at 0.543Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
- +$106.32at 0.464Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
- +$42.70at 0.573Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$41.85at 0.581Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$31.52at 0.886Will New Zealand recognize Palestine in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 00:05 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $96.30 |
| 09-02 00:02 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $21.39 |
| 08-30 05:30 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $25.11 |
| 08-18 22:04 | Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.70 |
| 08-18 22:03 | Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.85 |
| 08-03 22:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 07-18 21:53 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.974 | $97.40 |
| 07-18 21:37 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 07-18 21:22 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 07-15 23:23 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 07-15 21:27 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.995 | $20.89 |
| 07-15 21:25 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.995 | $398.00 |
| 07-14 19:56 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.993 | $14.89 |
| 07-07 08:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.183 | $9.15 |
| 07-07 07:59 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |