PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

orifcontex

0xa002fe96b56a85fa3ff05cfdeab99c8c9e53e840

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$5.04M
Markets traded
1,365
Open portfolio
$569.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,365
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.135$47.25+$8.75
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Hungary? · Yes0.0050.029$44.25+$36.75
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0220.022$40.50+$1.10
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0020.007$38.50+$25.05
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0320.021$32.93−$17.70
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.125$31.25+$6.25
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Slovakia? · Yes0.0020.021$29.67+$26.78
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0120.024$28.88+$14.18
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.2000.135$27.00−$13.00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0680.036$25.20−$22.30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? · Yes0.0050.007$22.27+$8.55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0500.055$22.00+$2.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? · Yes0.0040.004$16.00−$1.06
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.0200.013$15.13−$8.63
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0040.004$12.91−$1.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 16:19Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
10-31 16:19Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
10-31 16:19Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.002$0.50
10-30 18:59NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.00424$2.12
10-30 18:59NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.004$1.00
10-30 18:59NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.00508$2.54
10-30 16:17Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.003$0.30
10-30 15:59NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.004$1.00
10-30 15:59NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.00473537$4.74
10-30 15:59NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.004$1.00
10-27 16:20Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.005$0.50
10-27 16:20Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.01745$1.75
10-27 16:20Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.017$0.85
10-27 16:19Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
10-27 16:19Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.001$0.50