PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

orifcontex

0xa002fe96b56a85fa3ff05cfdeab99c8c9e53e840

Realised P&L
$4.0k
Volume
$4.50M
Markets traded
1,124
Open portfolio
$517.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,124
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? · Yes0.0080.022$75.91+$49.15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes0.0180.038$59.79+$32.33
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.1200.590$59.00+$47.00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0680.060$42.00$5.50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? · Yes0.0090.011$41.40+$8.01
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0400.030$33.55$10.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? · Yes0.0050.017$33.00+$21.88
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.055$22.00+$2.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0100.013$20.92+$5.38
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0120.015$17.45+$2.74
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0160.015$15.00$1.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.0030.004$13.85+$5.83
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? · Yes0.0050.004$12.25$5.69
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.0200.009$11.50$12.26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? · Yes0.0050.005$9.35+$0.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:19Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.024$1.44
09-13 16:18Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.001$0.06
09-12 16:20Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.025$1.50
09-11 16:18Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.034$1.02
09-09 16:19Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.01$0.70
09-09 16:19Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.03$2.10
09-09 07:36Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.001$0.35
09-09 07:36Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.001$0.35
09-09 07:36Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.001$0.35
09-07 16:21Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.016$1.12
09-03 08:55Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.3626913333$54.40
09-02 16:18Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.019$1.33
08-31 16:20Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.31$31.00
08-30 16:18Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
08-30 16:18Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00