orifcontex
0xa002fe96b56a85fa3ff05cfdeab99c8c9e53e840
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $5.04M
- Markets traded
- 1,365
- Open portfolio
- $569.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,365
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$858.14at 0.013Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$587.95at 0.125Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$509.59at 0.005Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$492.05at 0.008Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
- +$422.66at 0.002Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.50 |
| 10-30 18:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.00424 | $2.12 |
| 10-30 18:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 18:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.00508 | $2.54 |
| 10-30 16:17 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 10-30 15:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 15:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.00473537 | $4.74 |
| 10-30 15:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 16:20 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 10-27 16:20 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.01745 | $1.75 |
| 10-27 16:20 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.85 |
| 10-27 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.50 |