orifcontex
0xa002fe96b56a85fa3ff05cfdeab99c8c9e53e840
- Realised P&L
- $4.0k
- Volume
- $4.50M
- Markets traded
- 1,124
- Open portfolio
- $517.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,124
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$858.14at 0.013Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$587.95at 0.125Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$509.59at 0.005Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$492.05at 0.008Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
- +$422.66at 0.002Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.44 |
| 09-13 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 09-12 16:20 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.50 |
| 09-11 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.02 |
| 09-09 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.70 |
| 09-09 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.10 |
| 09-09 07:36 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.35 |
| 09-09 07:36 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.35 |
| 09-09 07:36 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.35 |
| 09-07 16:21 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.12 |
| 09-03 08:55 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.3626913333 | $54.40 |
| 09-02 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.33 |
| 08-31 16:20 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 08-30 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |