PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

glassslipper

0x9fa2ef131b53604ac588876ad10e1afc439da89b

Realised P&L
$-227.44
Volume
$18.8k
Markets traded
189
Open portfolio
$442.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded189
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.2000.850$106.25+$81.25
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5250.487$88.16$6.84
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.3150.954$45.40+$30.40
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · No0.8500.935$44.02+$4.02
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5500.645$29.32+$4.32
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7890.779$24.70$0.30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.4170.235$22.52$17.48
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.3500.305$17.43$2.57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2560.162$13.88$8.12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4000.475$13.06+$2.06
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.6900.225$7.17$14.83
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0400.009$7.12$22.88
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.160$6.86$8.14
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · No0.6100.345$5.66$4.34
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.6520.165$5.06$14.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 01:24Will United States win on 2026-07-06?SELL0.012$0.33
07-07 01:24Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$0.38
07-07 00:28Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0209999958$5.00
07-07 00:12Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
07-01 03:32Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
06-30 21:04Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
06-30 18:48Trump meets with Putin by December 31?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
06-30 18:48Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
06-27 05:38Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
06-27 05:35Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.059999989$5.00
06-26 03:16Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
06-24 21:54Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.0899999862$5.55
06-23 22:31Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.1199999913$11.00
06-18 00:05Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?SELL0.961$26.69
06-18 00:04Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.09$7.61