PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

glassslipper

0x9fa2ef131b53604ac588876ad10e1afc439da89b

Realised P&L
$-287.30
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$542.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5250.620$112.04+$17.04
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.2000.750$93.75+$68.75
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0170.198$35.98+$32.98
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.8130.859$31.68+$1.68
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5500.655$29.77+$4.77
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7890.817$25.87+$0.87
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6900.810$25.83+$3.83
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2560.203$17.49−$4.51
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.3500.295$16.86−$3.14
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.3860.416$16.16+$1.16
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8840.785$13.32−$1.68
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2900.765$13.19+$8.19
Will Penélope Cruz be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8000.835$10.44+$0.44
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5000.440$8.80−$1.20
Will "American Doctor" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4600.670$7.28+$2.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 03:22Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.386227538$15.00
10-25 03:22Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.1749999974$5.00
10-25 03:22No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.812999978$30.00
10-20 01:15Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-17 17:31Will "Musk" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.2399999923$5.00
10-17 17:31Will "American Doctor" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-17 17:30Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.8841059536$15.00
10-17 17:30Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
10-17 17:30Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
10-17 17:29Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
10-17 17:29Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
10-17 17:29Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6899999994$22.00
10-17 06:05Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
10-17 06:04Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3758431477$5.00
10-17 06:03Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4$5.00