glassslipper
0x9fa2ef131b53604ac588876ad10e1afc439da89b
- Realised P&L
- $-227.44
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $442.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.46at 0.709Will Elon tweet 150 or more times?
- +$75.00at 0.250Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$73.70at 0.778Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$59.56at 0.777Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$50.72at 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 01:24 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.33 |
| 07-07 01:24 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.38 |
| 07-07 00:28 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999958 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 00:12 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 03:32 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 21:04 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 18:48 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 18:48 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 05:38 | Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 05:35 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 03:16 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 21:54 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.0899999862 | $5.55 |
| 06-23 22:31 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.1199999913 | $11.00 |
| 06-18 00:05 | Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump? | SELL | 0.961 | $26.69 |
| 06-18 00:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $7.61 |