0x9F8B797068Ec79Ac94868fCE9EF5a6d9Aa3322AC-1746113400577
0x9f8b797068ec79ac94868fce9ef5a6d9aa3322ac
- Realised P&L
- $195.94
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $347.81
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.81at 0.044Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$94.81at 0.099Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$33.00at 0.175Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$27.63at 0.100Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$27.34at 0.344Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 18:40 | Exact Score: CS Marítimo 1 - 2 FC Porto? | BUY | 0.3299999979 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 18:40 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 14:05 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5960017519 | $40.00 |
| 10-10 13:59 | Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 13:58 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.5074626699 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 13:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 13:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 13:50 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 19:26 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 07:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.808 | $48.24 |
| 10-04 21:09 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.013 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:36 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.9 | $23.68 |
| 10-04 20:18 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 20:14 | Exact Score: Denmark 2 - 3 Portugal? | BUY | 0.3829999938 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 20:12 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |