PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Teopoulus

0x9d80914704c7a9d627a18d45a9b7733b1e8a79ca

Realised P&L
$1.22
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$74.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3320.384$19.70+$2.65
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4390.511$17.48+$2.48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.865$8.65+$0.85
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3770.583$7.73+$2.73
Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1700.217$5.90+$1.29
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2800.235$4.84$0.93
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8600.865$4.34+$0.03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5560.515$4.12$0.33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2010.206$2.13+$0.06
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$5.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$3.57
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$8.45
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May? · No0.0470.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$5.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$3.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 10:47Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.86$4.32
09-17 20:26Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.17$4.61
09-10 18:21Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.556$4.45
09-10 18:20Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.75$37.50
09-10 18:20Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.6$6.12
09-01 21:29Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.28$5.77
09-01 21:29Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.332$17.05
09-01 21:26Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.246$2.52
09-01 21:25Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.36$3.67
08-09 21:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
08-09 21:22Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4389999954$15.00
07-20 11:28Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
07-20 11:23Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9649999942$5.00
07-20 11:23Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3769999664$5.00
07-09 22:27Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.43$4.37