PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Half-Again

0x9ccc563ed3d62e53d9747b9547d662d79ee18453

Realised P&L
$2.63
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$67.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0470.040$6.40−$1.12
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? · Yes0.0440.031$4.96−$2.08
US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0300.026$4.16−$0.64
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.025$4.08−$0.88
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? · Yes0.0400.056$2.24+$0.64
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.0360.048$1.99+$0.50
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0420.048$1.92+$0.24
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.047$1.88−$0.12
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0500.046$1.86−$0.14
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0500.046$1.84−$0.16
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? · Yes0.0500.045$1.80−$0.20
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0500.045$1.80−$0.20
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31? · Yes0.0500.044$1.76−$0.24
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · Yes0.0500.043$1.70−$0.30
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.035$1.42−$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 13:14US x China Military clash before 2027?BUY0.03$1.20
10-24 13:14US x China Military clash before 2027?BUY0.03$1.20
10-24 13:14US x China Military clash before 2027?BUY0.03$1.20
10-24 13:14US x China Military clash before 2027?BUY0.03$1.20
10-24 13:12NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.024$0.96
10-24 13:12NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.024$0.96
10-24 13:12NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.024$0.96
10-24 13:12NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.024$0.96
10-24 13:09Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?BUY0.031$1.13
10-24 13:08Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?BUY0.044$1.76
10-24 13:08Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?BUY0.044$1.76
10-24 13:08Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?BUY0.044$1.76
10-24 13:07Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?BUY0.044$1.76
10-24 13:06Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.031$1.24
10-24 13:05Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.031$1.24