Giorgio2
0x9cb98fc57fe8a3bdf75c3b48bd419e5d262f7b80
- Realised P&L
- $32.0k
- Volume
- $2.29M
- Markets traded
- 891
- Open portfolio
- $23.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded891
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.922Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
- +$1.8kat 0.840Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$1.3kat 0.017Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
- +$1.2kat 0.033Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$1.2kat 0.229Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:05 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.5k |
| 09-17 15:25 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.58 |
| 09-17 11:42 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.992 | $324.38 |
| 09-16 17:26 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.72 | $360.00 |
| 09-16 16:58 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 08:25 | Will Philippe Brun win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | SELL | 0.0064856309 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:22 | Will Philippe Brun win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | SELL | 0.0099328725 | $2.39 |
| 09-15 13:57 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $680.55 |
| 09-15 11:54 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | SELL | 0.0812838653 | $55.52 |
| 09-14 14:43 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.347 | $767.56 |
| 09-14 09:10 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $115.50 |
| 09-14 08:28 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | SELL | 0.097 | $12.61 |
| 09-13 18:59 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.88 | $396.00 |
| 09-13 16:58 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 09-13 16:52 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.65 | $32.50 |