PolyBot

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Traders

Giorgio2

0x9cb98fc57fe8a3bdf75c3b48bd419e5d262f7b80

Realised P&L
$32.0k
Volume
$2.29M
Markets traded
891
Open portfolio
$23.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded891
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7050.755$2.1k+$136.93
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$1.6k+$559.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7490.765$1.5k+$31.51
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9920.995$1.5k+$4.36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5400.553$1.4k+$34.22
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · No0.8810.971$1.3k+$117.68
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.9020.955$955.24+$52.80
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3470.360$901.15+$34.61
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9210.927$878.87+$6.16
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8720.875$874.99+$2.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7470.775$740.51+$26.29
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8170.940$643.63+$84.28
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? · Yes0.9070.941$600.45+$21.55
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.6200.665$498.80+$33.75
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.945$472.50+$32.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:05Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.994$1.5k
09-17 15:25Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?BUY0.36$4.58
09-17 11:42Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.992$324.38
09-16 17:26Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.72$360.00
09-16 16:58Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.004$4.00
09-16 08:25Will Philippe Brun win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?SELL0.0064856309$1.00
09-16 08:22Will Philippe Brun win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?SELL0.0099328725$2.39
09-15 13:57UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?SELL0.96$680.55
09-15 11:54Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?SELL0.0812838653$55.52
09-14 14:43Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.347$767.56
09-14 09:10Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?SELL0.33$115.50
09-14 08:28Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?SELL0.097$12.61
09-13 18:59Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.88$396.00
09-13 16:58Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.65$32.50
09-13 16:52Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.65$32.50