0x9c123ff59eCEf0c2bcccc256830F19f2F4b8b99E-1767694797172
0x9c123ff59ecef0c2bcccc256830f19f2f4b8b99e
- Realised P&L
- $163.13
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.00at 0.150Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$84.09at 0.670Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
- +$70.00at 0.300Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$66.49at 0.235Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$64.29at 0.280US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 18:08 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.225 | $40.50 |
| 07-07 19:02 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6299999926 | $30.00 |
| 07-07 19:02 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4199999944 | $30.00 |
| 07-05 20:03 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 17:50 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 07-05 17:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 18:47 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 07-03 18:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1939999951 | $30.00 |
| 07-03 18:37 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8399999983 | $60.00 |
| 07-03 18:37 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $40.00 |
| 07-01 05:41 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7399999985 | $50.00 |
| 07-01 05:40 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7099999987 | $60.00 |
| 07-01 05:40 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5499999993 | $40.00 |
| 07-01 05:39 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 09:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.17 | $30.60 |