Irboz-sama
0x9b0b60aa0a1df93202f996860342fd5607815e43
- Realised P&L
- $7.4k
- Volume
- $24.27M
- Markets traded
- 456
- Open portfolio
- $7.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded456
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.108Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
- +$2.4kat 0.004Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$1.9kat 0.001Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.1kat 0.715Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$895.32at 0.997MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:26 | Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 09-07 16:15 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $56.22 |
| 09-06 20:18 | Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-01 19:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 08-29 18:22 | Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-27 18:42 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 08-20 21:27 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $486.89 |
| 08-18 20:37 | Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 08-17 18:21 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.751 | $15.02 |
| 08-14 19:04 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.146 | $9.39 |
| 08-12 20:30 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.518 | $15.54 |
| 08-10 21:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.76 |
| 08-09 20:21 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $989.00 |
| 08-03 19:12 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $991.00 |
| 08-03 19:12 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $991.00 |