PolyBot

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Traders

Irboz-sama

0x9b0b60aa0a1df93202f996860342fd5607815e43

Realised P&L
$7.4k
Volume
$24.27M
Markets traded
456
Open portfolio
$7.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded456
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8680.958$2.0k+$186.60
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9810.995$1.9k+$26.11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9290.955$1.9k+$51.72
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9540.981$980.50+$26.50
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9000.945$472.50+$22.50
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.8300.949$434.62+$54.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$38.98+$13.97
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes0.6190.155$32.07$95.93
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9921.000$30.00+$0.24
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.8800.935$28.05+$1.65
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? · No0.9100.920$27.60+$0.30
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9600.998$19.95+$0.75
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.7510.766$15.32+$0.30
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.2380.295$12.25+$2.37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$11.03$13.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:26Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?BUY0.91$27.30
09-07 16:15Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$56.22
09-06 20:18Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.85$17.00
09-01 19:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.42$42.00
08-29 18:22Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio BuseBUY0.55$11.00
08-27 18:42Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.999$999.00
08-20 21:27Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.995$486.89
08-18 20:37Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.96$19.20
08-17 18:21No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.751$15.02
08-14 19:04Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.146$9.39
08-12 20:30Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?BUY0.518$15.54
08-10 21:26Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$29.76
08-09 20:21Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.989$989.00
08-03 19:12Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.991$991.00
08-03 19:12Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.991$991.00