PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9a5336297e4b46e99c8a3be1c216e7951ac89fc9

Realised P&L
$-1.20
Volume
$877.27
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$38.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.6800.853$15.04+$3.04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8600.978$11.20+$1.35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6200.715$8.43+$1.12
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes0.1800.128$2.48$1.02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1180.080$1.01$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 10:31Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.6199999983$7.31
09-05 10:30Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8599999913$9.85
08-04 20:25Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.8499999933$6.32
08-04 20:12Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?BUY0.1799999619$3.50
08-04 20:11Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?BUY0.6799999955$12.00
07-27 19:49Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7189998381$3.10
07-27 19:48Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.27$2.45
07-20 20:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.6699999994$12.18
07-20 20:22Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1179999344$1.50
07-14 21:08Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5719998695$1.28
07-14 21:07Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2269999818$9.14
07-14 21:07Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.226$11.33
07-07 17:28Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1899999866$9.53
07-07 17:28Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.84$9.93
07-02 10:33Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.8099999906$7.77