pepe-15m
0x9a2302ea281950bafee21ec5c30bfce4269c0e0c
- Realised P&L
- $-509.98
- Volume
- $37.3k
- Markets traded
- 3,072
- Open portfolio
- $45.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,072
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$257.08at 0.186Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
- +$152.22at 0.680Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$101.30at 0.493Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$81.65at 0.731Will France win on 2026-06-26?
- +$80.15at 0.790Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:40 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 23:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:45 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:03 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:48 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:41 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:37 | Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.9439999773 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:20 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 2? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:20 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 12:16 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 12:03 | Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 07:11 | Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 0%-10%? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 01:38 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 00:14 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.8299998847 | $1.08 |
| 10-31 23:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |