PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fgh1fg65

0x988212be1ca3b8c9e659f45e77887257457c1d24

Realised P&L
$229.88
Volume
$42.9k
Markets traded
265
Open portfolio
$351.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded265
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · No0.5701.000$100.00+$43.00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.590$29.50+$2.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.540$27.00+$0.00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.4700.530$26.50+$3.00
Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? · Yes0.3101.000$20.00+$13.80
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9001.000$20.00+$2.00
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · No0.8801.000$20.00+$2.40
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.3101.000$20.00+$13.80
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31? · No0.8801.000$20.00+$2.40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5301.000$20.00+$9.40
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.910$18.20+$0.60
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5300.665$13.30+$2.70
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · No0.6200.410$8.20−$4.20
Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? · No0.2900.166$3.31−$2.49
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.2000.125$2.50−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 07:24Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.14255$2.85
08-20 07:24Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.32$6.40
08-20 07:24Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.36$7.20
08-20 07:24Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.62$12.40
08-20 07:24Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.44$8.80
08-19 03:33Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?SELL0.013$0.26
08-19 03:33Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.1$2.00
08-19 03:33Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 19?SELL0.5775$11.55
08-19 03:33U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?SELL0.76$15.20
08-18 04:15Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.26$5.20
08-18 04:14Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 19?SELL0.36$7.20
08-18 04:14Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.46$9.20
08-18 04:14Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?SELL0.72$14.40
08-18 04:14Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 06:43Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?SELL0.09$1.80