0x9877738dcda350043898068199aece1aee4c7e3b
- Realised P&L
- $-49.78
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $67.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.24at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
- +$14.96at 0.637Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 21?
- +$10.56at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.63at 0.237Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$6.39at 0.436Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 07:41 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8879997703 | $3.00 |
| 07-27 07:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.4099999238 | $1.99 |
| 07-22 08:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $2.99 |
| 07-15 09:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9299998124 | $1.19 |
| 07-14 10:02 | Spread: France (-3.5) | BUY | 0.0230000007 | $1.09 |
| 07-14 09:59 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.4925 | $1.08 |
| 07-14 09:58 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4949998161 | $1.09 |
| 07-14 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $1.10 |
| 07-14 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999783 | $1.09 |
| 07-14 09:33 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.405 | $1.08 |
| 07-14 09:32 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4074998738 | $1.09 |
| 07-08 12:05 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7899999012 | $1.20 |
| 07-08 07:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999677 | $1.09 |
| 07-07 10:37 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1899999265 | $1.99 |