0x983d4c605334Ad3Ef06227f1CCCC8Fc2dd5C933f-1757614048183
0x983d4c605334ad3ef06227f1cccc8fc2dd5c933f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $203.0k
- Markets traded
- 673
- Open portfolio
- $117.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded673
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$621.96at 0.005Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
- +$353.88at 0.900TikTok sale announced in 2025?
- +$141.70at 0.312Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
- +$139.52at 0.436Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Tearlaments (BO1)
- +$118.97at 0.397Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 15:08 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $19.18 |
| 08-14 17:51 | Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.95 |
| 08-14 15:24 | Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $0.95 |
| 08-06 19:59 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $8.46 |
| 08-05 04:58 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $56.01 |
| 08-05 04:36 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.40 |
| 08-05 04:34 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.40 |
| 06-02 10:06 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 16:08 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 16:06 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.568 | $5.16 |
| 05-18 04:48 | Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? | SELL | 0.61 | $5.95 |
| 05-13 15:27 | Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 15:27 | Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 16:57 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 16:56 | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |