PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x983d4c605334Ad3Ef06227f1CCCC8Fc2dd5C933f-1757614048183

0x983d4c605334ad3ef06227f1cccc8fc2dd5c933f

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$203.0k
Markets traded
673
Open portfolio
$117.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded673
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · Yes0.0900.080$66.90$8.36
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? · Yes0.1180.085$24.86$9.67
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2100.235$21.46+$2.28
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.1900.115$1.21$0.79
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2060.065$0.95$2.06
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1500.055$0.73$1.27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.041$0.58$1.42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0910.028$0.30$0.70
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1300.011$0.08$0.92
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0650.004$0.05$0.95
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1200.002$0.01$0.99
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 15:08Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.21$19.18
08-14 17:51Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?SELL0.049$0.95
08-14 15:24Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.049$0.95
08-06 19:59Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?BUY0.09$8.46
08-05 04:58Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?BUY0.09$56.01
08-05 04:36Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?BUY0.09$5.40
08-05 04:34Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?BUY0.09$5.40
06-02 10:06MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0090000001$1.00
06-01 16:08Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
06-01 16:06MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.568$5.16
05-18 04:48Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?SELL0.61$5.95
05-13 15:27Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
05-13 15:27Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
05-12 16:57Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
05-12 16:56Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?BUY0.01$1.00