JosephTrump
0x97afda90095deb8cbc9eac46acc2a79ab2569bc6
- Realised P&L
- $22.8k
- Volume
- $4.72M
- Markets traded
- 477
- Open portfolio
- $31.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded477
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.9kat 0.383Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.5kat 0.374Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.9kat 0.984Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.9kat 0.993Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.790Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:27 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.94 | $799.00 |
| 10-26 20:21 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.761 | $396.57 |
| 10-26 13:41 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 10-25 23:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.944 | $288.80 |
| 10-25 22:32 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.25018 | $125.09 |
| 10-25 20:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 10-25 11:11 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-25 11:10 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 10-24 21:56 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $15.95 |
| 10-22 15:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.3k |
| 10-19 13:46 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $154.00 |
| 10-19 13:21 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.6k |
| 10-15 13:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2 | $200.00 |
| 10-13 20:29 | Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0916246102 | $34.97 |
| 10-11 14:18 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $101.30 |