0x977C5E43cFA289036d341aC1e8458843657FA86f-1784827707708
0x977c5e43cfa289036d341ac1e8458843657fa86f
- Realised P&L
- $-43.43
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $37.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.42at 0.047Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$7.88at 0.719Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$5.73at 0.582Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$5.32at 0.273Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
- +$4.78at 0.815Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 16:05 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 04:26 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 04:26 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.379999962 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 21:18 | Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | BUY | 0.7099994391 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:16 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:13 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:12 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 20:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 20:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 20:22 | Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 20:20 | Will Claude go down 12+ times in July? | BUY | 0.466999887 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 20:20 | Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July? | SELL | 0.552 | $0.97 |
| 07-29 20:19 | Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July? | BUY | 0.5689998339 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |