0x977C5E43cFA289036d341aC1e8458843657FA86f-1784827707708
0x977c5e43cfa289036d341ac1e8458843657fa86f
- Realised P&L
- $-51.74
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $26.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.29at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$7.49at 0.731Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$5.51at 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$4.80at 0.392Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
- +$4.53at 0.824Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:47 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 18:06 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 18:06 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 14:56 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 13:35 | Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 19:46 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 19:46 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.3366336227 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 12:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.3739998766 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 12:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.6449997904 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 17:22 | Will Claude go down 14+ times in August? | BUY | 0.048693188 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 17:22 | Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August? | BUY | 0.4479999247 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 22:28 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during Tele-Rally? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 21:54 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during Tele-Rally? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 16:05 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 04:26 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |