bun-gopinky
0x972f4e2a68e8299c8f38c7279e69617af14fab22
- Realised P&L
- $-2.29
- Volume
- $160.39
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $12.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.530 | $3.88 | −$0.67 |
| Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.992 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.963 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No | 0.690 | 0.735 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes | 0.939 | 0.999 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · No | 0.859 | 0.910 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.890 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.875 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.235 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No | 0.865 | 0.561 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.40at 0.716Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$0.34at 0.746Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$0.29at 0.775Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$0.24at 0.952Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?
- +$0.19at 0.844Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 11:04 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.955 | $1.04 |
| 09-06 11:04 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.957 | $1.02 |
| 09-04 17:32 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 17:22 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.938999953 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 18:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 18:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $1.03 |
| 08-02 04:34 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-01 16:34 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 07-20 03:47 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 17:45 | Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? | SELL | 0.982 | $1.05 |
| 07-19 17:44 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | SELL | 0.989 | $1.08 |
| 07-17 09:11 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 07-16 10:39 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.8649999221 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 10:37 | Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.16 |
| 07-14 07:45 | Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |