PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

d4vd

0x96b2fcc7bcd60a26ee97d3d7c7f038f2b286abf1

Realised P&L
$-197.89
Volume
$26.3k
Markets traded
507
Open portfolio
$133.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded507
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Patriots vs. Bills · Bills0.7300.725$29.79−$0.21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5700.685$24.04+$4.04
Packers vs. Buccaneers · Packers0.6300.635$20.16+$0.16
Steelers vs. Browns · Steelers0.5800.575$14.87−$0.13
Jaguars vs. Bengals · Bengals0.5700.565$14.87−$0.13
Cowboys vs. Texans · Cowboys0.4400.435$14.83−$0.17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2010.207$5.16+$0.16
Colts vs. Commanders · Commanders0.3600.355$4.93−$0.07
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3220.051$3.19−$16.81
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · Yes0.0240.040$1.66+$0.66
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0900.003$0.07−$1.93
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro · Sho Shimabukuro0.4990.000$0.00−$20.00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce · Mattia Bellucci0.5300.000$0.00−$15.00
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguet · Roberto Bautista Agut0.4680.000$0.00−$5.00
Jets vs. Lions · Jets0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 02:47Patriots vs. BillsBUY0.7299999942$30.00
09-29 02:47Cowboys vs. TexansBUY0.4399999883$15.00
09-29 02:46Packers vs. BuccaneersBUY0.629999995$20.00
09-29 02:46Jaguars vs. BengalsBUY0.5699999886$15.00
09-29 02:06Colts vs. CommandersBUY0.3599999971$5.00
09-29 02:06Steelers vs. BrownsBUY0.5799999992$15.00
09-29 02:05Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.5099999949$15.00
09-26 15:29Texas vs. TennesseeBUY0.6599999879$12.00
09-26 15:29Jets vs. LionsBUY0.2799999978$5.00
09-25 14:59Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.4613964792$10.00
09-25 14:58Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.649999974$15.00
09-23 02:15Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.5699999886$5.00
09-23 02:15Bengals vs. SteelersBUY0.629999995$15.00
09-22 05:20Texans vs. ColtsBUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-22 05:20Chiefs vs. DolphinsBUY0.8699999965$25.00