Pitragor
0x962063353395ce57e493aa0bee90d42a6c41e376
- Realised P&L
- $-360.86
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $98.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.80at 0.025Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
- +$33.94at 0.779Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
- +$17.96at 0.573Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
- +$16.79at 0.932Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
- +$15.42at 0.115Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 14:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 14:54 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3319999769 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 14:53 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2038834791 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 14:52 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 15:23 | Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0949999211 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 15:22 | Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 15:22 | Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 15:22 | Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 15:21 | Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 15:21 | Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 15:19 | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.3193196587 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 15:19 | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 15:19 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 15:18 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 15:17 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |