hideo
0x95bf944dd22691364154fb436ee922798566e00b
- Realised P&L
- $129.7k
- Volume
- $6.31M
- Markets traded
- 383
- Open portfolio
- $361.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded383
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.6kat 0.709Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$16.9kat 0.833Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$10.3kat 0.795Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$7.6kat 0.872Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$7.3kat 0.837Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 02:22 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6234525333 | $467.59 |
| 08-28 14:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5003515883 | $7.7k |
| 08-28 14:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.53 | $7.5k |
| 08-28 14:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.1k |
| 08-20 14:31 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.2153906941 | $564.75 |
| 08-20 08:55 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.6214205691 | $1.6k |
| 08-19 23:12 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | SELL | 0.872954538 | $265.18 |
| 08-19 13:11 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.8102688693 | $4.0k |
| 08-19 13:02 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.8202050422 | $3.0k |
| 08-13 03:23 | Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1525449102 | $50.95 |
| 08-13 02:45 | Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2812048193 | $46.68 |
| 08-13 00:53 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.8318142358 | $1.4k |
| 08-12 03:29 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.5k |
| 08-10 15:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.5k |
| 08-06 16:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.5688220706 | $1.4k |