PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

blisik

0x93eddf6db105ceec0daa9d5b8d4e73fe8f297e69

Realised P&L
$-743.44
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
803
Open portfolio
$38.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded803
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.2700.190$4.21−$1.77
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1130.051$2.69−$3.29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5000.335$2.01−$0.99
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.3400.215$1.89−$1.10
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2900.175$1.80−$1.19
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.2700.155$1.72−$1.27
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.225$1.35−$1.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.150$1.34−$0.99
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes0.1900.215$1.23+$0.14
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.2800.155$1.22−$0.99
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0320.032$1.07−$0.02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.4040.495$0.95+$0.18
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.2200.190$0.95−$0.15
Will Trinidad Chambliss be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Yes0.1180.101$0.93−$0.16
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0480.041$0.92−$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 22:19Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.16$1.12
09-29 22:18Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.23$1.15
09-29 22:18Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?SELL0.022$1.10
09-29 22:18Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.14$1.27
09-29 22:18Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?SELL0.0915454545$1.26
09-29 20:20Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.005$0.03
09-29 09:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.008$0.12
09-28 21:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.009$0.11
09-28 09:59Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.174$1.16
09-28 09:59Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$4.60
09-28 09:59Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.019$1.15
09-28 09:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?SELL0.15$1.26
09-28 09:59Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?SELL0.16$1.34
09-28 09:59Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.006$1.38
09-28 09:59Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000?SELL0.031$0.89