PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x9378B3F78fEefc97D74bDeC18618582Af7788427-1760116606254

0x9378b3f78feefc97d74bdec18618582af7788427

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$87.6k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$6.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8950.925$3.3k+$109.55
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4670.655$1.4k+$398.84
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6420.810$768.00+$159.37
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8540.911$439.31+$27.69
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.6970.860$267.68+$50.85
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3100.605$60.50+$29.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2500.253$50.50+$0.50
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3380.250$50.21$17.70
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.4370.345$24.74$6.61
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0080.006$21.96$6.76
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · Yes0.1070.305$17.69+$11.48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.1900.155$8.53$1.92
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0060.004$5.95$4.25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? · Yes0.0600.101$5.63+$2.27
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0390.002$4.50$113.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 01:09Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.009$0.90
07-23 20:19Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.882$176.40
07-10 14:14Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.919$275.70
06-12 17:32Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.843$151.74
06-08 21:07Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.832$37.18
06-02 16:44Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.836$24.91
06-02 16:43Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.013$26.00
05-30 19:46Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.831$15.79
05-28 12:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4$2.00
05-27 03:17Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.066$11.38
05-26 15:08Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8358363333$100.30
05-25 11:49Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.871$33.97
05-23 13:08Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.029$4.64
05-23 13:07Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.017$8.50
05-22 20:21Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.005$4.25
Trader 0x9378B3F78fEefc97D74bDeC18618582Af7788427-1760116606254 · PolyBot