0x9378B3F78fEefc97D74bDeC18618582Af7788427-1760116606254
0x9378b3f78feefc97d74bdec18618582af7788427
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $87.6k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.94at 0.884Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$87.83at 0.842Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
- +$82.42at 0.781Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$74.47at 0.684Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$71.70at 0.897Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 01:09 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.90 |
| 07-23 20:19 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.882 | $176.40 |
| 07-10 14:14 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.919 | $275.70 |
| 06-12 17:32 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.843 | $151.74 |
| 06-08 21:07 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.832 | $37.18 |
| 06-02 16:44 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.836 | $24.91 |
| 06-02 16:43 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.013 | $26.00 |
| 05-30 19:46 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.831 | $15.79 |
| 05-28 12:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 05-27 03:17 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.066 | $11.38 |
| 05-26 15:08 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8358363333 | $100.30 |
| 05-25 11:49 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.871 | $33.97 |
| 05-23 13:08 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.029 | $4.64 |
| 05-23 13:07 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.017 | $8.50 |
| 05-22 20:21 | Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $4.25 |