joeyIsleepy
0x920ca117a6f8cef6312ed94094787accae89d323
- Realised P&L
- $-46.69
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $49.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.735 | $7.35 | +$0.35 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.775 | 0.735 | $7.35 | −$0.40 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.340 | 0.475 | $6.65 | +$1.89 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.655 | $6.55 | +$0.75 |
| Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.085 | $5.04 | +$0.30 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.895 | $4.47 | +$0.68 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.045 | $4.28 | −$0.47 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.085 | $4.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.635 | $3.17 | +$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.32at 0.693LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
- +$16.07at 0.356LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$13.32at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$11.32at 0.696LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$11.27at 0.548LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:01 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.75 |
| 09-18 02:07 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.502 | $2.51 |
| 09-17 16:08 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.76 |
| 09-16 15:48 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.79 |
| 09-16 00:45 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-15 20:34 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.43 |
| 09-15 19:00 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-15 15:11 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 10:29 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $4.86 |
| 09-10 17:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-10 15:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.515 | $2.58 |
| 09-10 15:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 09-10 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.36 |
| 09-10 00:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 09-10 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |