PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

joeyIsleepy

0x920ca117a6f8cef6312ed94094787accae89d323

Realised P&L
$-46.69
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
220
Open portfolio
$49.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded220
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.7000.735$7.35+$0.35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7750.735$7.35$0.40
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.3400.475$6.65+$1.89
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5800.655$6.55+$0.75
Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.0800.085$5.04+$0.30
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.895$4.47+$0.68
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0500.045$4.28$0.47
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$4.25$0.75
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5900.635$3.17+$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 07:01Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.05$4.75
09-18 02:07Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.502$2.51
09-17 16:08Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.34$4.76
09-16 15:48Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.31$2.79
09-16 00:45Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
09-15 20:34Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?SELL0.21$2.43
09-15 19:00Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.21$4.20
09-15 15:11Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
09-15 10:29Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.54$4.86
09-10 17:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?SELL0.22$1.10
09-10 15:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?SELL0.515$2.58
09-10 15:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?SELL0.09$0.45
09-10 00:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSELL0.06$0.36
09-10 00:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.26$1.56
09-10 00:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETSELL0.07$0.35