PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

jsmp1

0x919d214d20f8454eedb576aec5cd237330b660e1

Realised P&L
$13.4k
Volume
$2.28M
Markets traded
1,284
Open portfolio
$63.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,284
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9130.968$5.0k+$285.36
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9510.981$4.7k+$139.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7470.993$3.8k+$931.51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8370.961$3.4k+$431.46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6770.835$2.8k+$537.10
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9370.984$2.6k+$123.69
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · No0.9010.961$2.5k+$153.30
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8820.983$2.4k+$240.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7270.765$2.1k+$103.07
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.5500.745$1.9k+$507.00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6350.715$1.9k+$216.50
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8600.953$1.6k+$158.88
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8540.945$1.5k+$146.00
SBF released from custody in 2026? · No0.9030.976$1.5k+$109.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8620.945$1.1k+$100.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.88$1.8k
09-15 12:27OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.78$262.86
09-15 12:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$440.00
09-15 10:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$440.00
09-15 06:03NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7405710705$1.1k
09-11 13:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.81$809.99
09-10 13:27Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.83$415.00
09-10 08:40Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.81$486.00
09-07 18:27Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.17$136.00
09-06 16:28Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.16$112.00
09-06 16:05Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.26$26.00
09-02 17:34Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.19$83.37
08-19 19:08Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.31$54.85
07-26 16:06NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.73$365.00
07-22 11:45Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.24$72.00
Trader jsmp1 · PolyBot Pro