0x919d214d20f8454eedb576aec5cd237330b660e1
0x919d214d20f8454eedb576aec5cd237330b660e1
- Realised P&L
- $9.8k
- Volume
- $2.36M
- Markets traded
- 1,326
- Open portfolio
- $70.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,326
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.8kat 0.599Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$3.7kat 0.197US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.285Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
- +$2.8kat 0.250Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$2.6kat 0.466US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:38 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $110.88 |
| 11-01 18:30 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 11-01 18:24 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $219.00 |
| 10-31 09:46 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 06:04 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $720.00 |
| 10-29 16:32 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $280.00 |
| 10-28 14:17 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 10-28 09:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.44 | $90.20 |
| 10-28 07:36 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $777.34 |
| 10-28 07:35 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.96 | $491.80 |
| 10-28 07:34 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.9900215413 | $551.51 |
| 10-28 07:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $911.01 |
| 10-28 07:29 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 10-23 06:48 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.992 | $180.38 |
| 10-22 19:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7 | $210.00 |