jsmp1
0x919d214d20f8454eedb576aec5cd237330b660e1
- Realised P&L
- $13.4k
- Volume
- $2.28M
- Markets traded
- 1,284
- Open portfolio
- $63.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,284
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.8kat 0.599Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$3.7kat 0.197US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.285Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
- +$2.8kat 0.250Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$2.6kat 0.466US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.8k |
| 09-15 12:27 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $262.86 |
| 09-15 12:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $440.00 |
| 09-15 10:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $440.00 |
| 09-15 06:03 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7405710705 | $1.1k |
| 09-11 13:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.81 | $809.99 |
| 09-10 13:27 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.83 | $415.00 |
| 09-10 08:40 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.81 | $486.00 |
| 09-07 18:27 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $136.00 |
| 09-06 16:28 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $112.00 |
| 09-06 16:05 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 09-02 17:34 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.19 | $83.37 |
| 08-19 19:08 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.31 | $54.85 |
| 07-26 16:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $365.00 |
| 07-22 11:45 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $72.00 |