0x911bb6C41a9E1A9c861029640fADC5884FB0A7fE-1765481426167
0x911bb6c41a9e1a9c861029640fadc5884fb0a7fe
- Realised P&L
- $207.01
- Volume
- $64.2k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $260.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$399.55at 0.036Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
- +$250.77at 0.350Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
- +$178.81at 0.781Will King Charles say "Crown" or "Prince" during the joint meeting of Congress?
- +$169.50at 0.184Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$151.51at 0.210Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 03:40 | Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? | SELL | 0.7612857376 | $46.60 |
| 06-11 03:39 | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? | BUY | 0.1552895503 | $30.00 |
| 06-11 03:38 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SELL | 0.67 | $93.65 |
| 06-11 03:37 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.1579999873 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 03:37 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.1589999886 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 03:27 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SELL | 0.6788032124 | $379.51 |
| 06-02 00:01 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 06-02 00:00 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BUY | 0.2194148891 | $30.00 |
| 06-01 23:58 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.2595983 | $51.92 |
| 06-01 23:57 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.244427063 | $25.00 |
| 06-01 23:56 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0344650266 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 23:42 | Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.21 |
| 06-01 23:40 | Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.81 | $26.57 |
| 06-01 23:37 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 23:31 | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |