PolyBot

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Traders

0x8fFAc788B2674A752021920C82FEcad34a39B3c6-1770993318388

0x8ffac788b2674a752021920c82fecad34a39b3c6

Realised P&L
$-76.27
Volume
$38.0k
Markets traded
1,056
Open portfolio
$56.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,056
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.175$14.74−$2.11
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2180.235$10.78+$0.78
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8180.847$10.24+$0.35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.1550.034$6.48−$23.52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.125$4.63−$5.37
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0900.033$3.61−$6.39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.069$2.54−$7.46
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.5500.080$1.45−$8.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.042$1.13−$5.59
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6000.055$0.92−$9.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 21:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.991$13.21
10-30 18:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?SELL0.15$9.38
10-30 18:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.16$10.00
10-28 19:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.49$9.80
10-28 19:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.5$10.00
10-28 00:33Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?SELL0.8973488372$9.65
10-28 00:32Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
10-23 17:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?SELL0.82$9.87
10-23 17:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.8299999842$10.00
10-22 04:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.75$10.00
09-30 14:46Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
09-30 14:46Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8$5.03
09-30 02:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.27$9.64
09-30 02:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.2799999978$10.00
09-24 03:20Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2179469364$10.00