0x8fFAc788B2674A752021920C82FEcad34a39B3c6-1770993318388
0x8ffac788b2674a752021920c82fecad34a39b3c6
- Realised P&L
- $-76.27
- Volume
- $38.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,056
- Open portfolio
- $56.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,056
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$253.26at 0.107Solana Up or Down - July 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$200.77at 0.130China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$42.00at 0.100Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$38.33at 0.859US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$30.85at 0.064Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 21:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $13.21 |
| 10-30 18:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | SELL | 0.15 | $9.38 |
| 10-30 18:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 19:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-28 19:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 00:33 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | SELL | 0.8973488372 | $9.65 |
| 10-28 00:32 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 17:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | SELL | 0.82 | $9.87 |
| 10-23 17:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.8299999842 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 04:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 14:46 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 14:46 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.03 |
| 09-30 02:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.27 | $9.64 |
| 09-30 02:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 03:20 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2179469364 | $10.00 |