bugs1
0x8fb51e2f2653da157aee2a2c2e90233ab419d37c
- Realised P&L
- $278.85
- Volume
- $58.8k
- Markets traded
- 348
- Open portfolio
- $435.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded348
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.00at 0.080USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$185.56at 0.042Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$173.98at 0.027Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$163.10at 0.058USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$150.00at 0.500US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.60 |
| 07-09 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 07-09 05:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 04:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 05:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 05:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $1.76 |
| 05-21 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 05:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.7067831398 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 05:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 05:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |