PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bonebot

0x8f2100aa027be80f8ad7106d21a9f95a26a5b935

Realised P&L
$-40.38
Volume
$722.2k
Markets traded
1,145
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,145
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.6800.870$1.3k+$279.41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2640.155$1.2k−$825.75
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2420.203$419.50−$80.41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.8650.562$165.62−$89.38
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3900.925$130.59+$75.59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9240.980$106.01+$6.01
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.002$48.21−$176.78
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6180.978$31.64+$11.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.0310.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? · Yes0.4530.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.2970.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.2670.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET · Up0.4340.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Up0.4250.000$0.00−$55.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 03:12Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.08$48.00
07-28 03:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-28 03:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.5$100.00
07-28 03:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSELL0.2578721515$34.85
07-28 03:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.1849544368$25.00
07-28 03:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETBUY0.1429976892$25.00
07-28 03:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETSELL0.3567973248$187.79
07-28 03:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETBUY0.1899999986$100.00
07-28 02:51Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSELL0.35$32.41
07-28 02:51Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.2699999938$25.00
07-28 02:49Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.140977422$5.00
07-28 02:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETSELL0.7057475748$70.57
07-28 02:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.16$10.00
07-28 02:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.08$5.00
07-28 02:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSELL0.42$42.00