bonebot
0x8f2100aa027be80f8ad7106d21a9f95a26a5b935
- Realised P&L
- $-40.38
- Volume
- $722.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,145
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,145
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.544Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.249Clavicular charged again by June 30?
- +$1.2kat 0.481Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
- +$907.07at 0.392Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$722.03at 0.270US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 03:12 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $48.00 |
| 07-28 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 03:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | SELL | 0.2578721515 | $34.85 |
| 07-28 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1849544368 | $25.00 |
| 07-28 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1429976892 | $25.00 |
| 07-28 03:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | SELL | 0.3567973248 | $187.79 |
| 07-28 03:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $32.41 |
| 07-28 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999938 | $25.00 |
| 07-28 02:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.140977422 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 02:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | SELL | 0.7057475748 | $70.57 |
| 07-28 02:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 02:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 02:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $42.00 |