Ordon
0x8ebfdc251c6c378d4a3a54a8f15cebfa4b9183ce
- Realised P&L
- $75.5k
- Volume
- $36.72M
- Markets traded
- 6,220
- Open portfolio
- $141.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,220
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$433.5kat 0.083Will the US strike Syria next?
- +$315.8kat 0.030Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$310.3kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$134.2kat 0.167Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
- +$112.9kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:00 | Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.99 | $403.92 |
| 09-16 18:58 | Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.9485714286 | $332.00 |
| 09-16 18:56 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 09-15 19:14 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $31.50 |
| 09-15 19:14 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $31.24 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.048 | $3.60 |
| 09-14 21:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.047 | $1.41 |
| 09-14 20:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.038009134 | $13.94 |
| 09-14 20:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.036 | $3.62 |
| 09-14 20:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.035 | $17.50 |
| 09-14 20:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.036 | $1.08 |
| 09-14 20:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.036 | $18.00 |
| 09-14 20:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.03606087 | $36.06 |
| 09-14 19:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | SELL | 0.941361863 | $579.08 |