PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ordon

0x8ebfdc251c6c378d4a3a54a8f15cebfa4b9183ce

Realised P&L
$75.5k
Volume
$36.72M
Markets traded
6,220
Open portfolio
$141.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,220
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$109.1k+$39.1k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$30.9k$39.1k
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9140.958$957.41+$43.25
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.8360.835$425.85$0.71
Will Sneako be deported in 2026? · No0.9540.961$190.29+$1.20
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.8600.875$105.00+$1.80
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.105$31.50+$4.50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.3560.875$9.04+$5.36
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.982$4.91+$0.41
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8260.972$4.90+$0.73
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1620.055$4.76$9.27
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$4.71$4.90
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9400.925$4.62$0.07
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.1900.255$2.55+$0.65
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6700.445$2.23$1.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:00Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?BUY0.99$403.92
09-16 18:58Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?BUY0.9485714286$332.00
09-16 18:56Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference?BUY0.62$18.60
09-15 19:14Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.07$31.50
09-15 19:14Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.06$31.24
09-15 18:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
09-14 21:50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.048$3.60
09-14 21:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.047$1.41
09-14 20:56US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.038009134$13.94
09-14 20:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.036$3.62
09-14 20:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.035$17.50
09-14 20:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.036$1.08
09-14 20:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.036$18.00
09-14 20:06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.03606087$36.06
09-14 19:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?SELL0.941361863$579.08