Ordon
0x8ebfdc251c6c378d4a3a54a8f15cebfa4b9183ce
- Realised P&L
- $75.2k
- Volume
- $36.83M
- Markets traded
- 6,494
- Open portfolio
- $140.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,494
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$310.3kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$212.7kat 0.571Will the US strike Syria next?
- +$147.0kat 0.971Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$112.9kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$78.5kat 0.100Will the US strike Somalia next?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:26 | Will Zouhair Talbi be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division? | BUY | 0.999 | $123.28 |
| 11-01 23:07 | Will the season series between the Browns and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.999 | $123.28 |
| 11-01 15:17 | Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 3.5 Corners | BUY | 0.999 | $102.89 |
| 11-01 13:28 | Taranto: Leonardo Rossi vs Alessio Balestrieri | BUY | 0.49 | $60.47 |
| 11-01 13:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $277.86 |
| 11-01 10:40 | Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $512.22 |
| 11-01 09:47 | GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $142.67 |
| 11-01 00:24 | 1H Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 11-01 00:20 | Counter-Strike: Dark Moon vs Saint Sinners - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.49 | $60.47 |
| 10-31 23:52 | Hawks vs. Pelicans: Race to 30 Points | BUY | 0.999 | $19.99 |
| 10-31 23:44 | FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.999 | $43.63 |
| 10-31 21:29 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? | BUY | 0.9971259858 | $791.46 |
| 10-31 19:25 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 02:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $649.35 |
| 10-31 00:03 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |