dis0rdered
0x8eb2df7e7b89d594e0af2d05c3c79e0b79777ab1
- Realised P&L
- $6.18
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $65.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.48at 0.505Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$5.57at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$5.04at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$4.51at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$4.29at 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 14:33 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-09 14:32 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-04 08:02 | Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham in September 2026? | BUY | 0.928 | $4.64 |
| 08-19 06:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 08-19 06:02 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-16 18:27 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-11 14:17 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-11 06:17 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.958 | $4.79 |
| 08-05 03:59 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 08-04 19:59 | Will Donald Trump's tie be another color? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-03 04:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 08-03 04:02 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-01 07:32 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 07:31 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 07-31 18:51 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |