PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

feffefe

0x8e34ea0d66bb9ebd75290a13209838db8ad54480

Realised P&L
$-24.0k
Volume
$2.06M
Markets traded
6,711
Open portfolio
$16.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,711
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9360.955$6.7k+$131.26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7870.845$3.4k+$233.38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2900.295$1.5k+$25.00
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · No0.9500.955$1.4k+$7.66
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9350.955$1.4k+$28.82
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.915$914.99+$105.00
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? · No0.9350.956$543.28+$11.56
Lisbon: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon · No0.9881.000$99.95+$1.15
Set Handicap: Andrea Pellegrino (-1.5) vs Pol Martin Tiffon (+1.5) · Andrea Pellegrino0.4900.745$74.50+$25.50
Pellegrino vs. Tiffon: Match O/U 23.5 · Over0.4900.745$74.50+$25.50
Pellegrino vs. Tiffon: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 · Over0.4900.680$68.00+$19.00
Set 2 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon · Pol Martin Tiffon0.4900.500$50.00+$1.00
Set Handicap: Pol Martin Tiffon (-1.5) vs Andrea Pellegrino (+1.5) · Pol Martin Tiffon0.4900.500$50.00+$1.00
Andrea Pellegrino vs. Pol Martin Tiffon: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Over 2.50.4900.500$50.00+$1.00
Set 1 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon · Pol Martin Tiffon0.4900.500$50.00+$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 11:44Lisbon: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin TiffonBUY0.4232467532$32.59
10-19 11:44Lisbon: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin TiffonBUY0.9766666667$14.65
10-19 11:44Set 2 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin TiffonBUY0.49$2.45
10-19 00:33Cali: Completed Match: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nicolas KickerBUY0.98$19.60
10-14 20:03Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.94$940.00
09-30 20:12Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.33$697.27
09-30 20:11Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8056227064$702.50
09-30 04:22Mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of Channukah?BUY0.8722416534$109.73
09-28 20:13NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?BUY0.93516562$531.61
09-27 22:28Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?BUY0.9498850666$1.1k
09-13 19:34Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.93$1.9k
09-13 19:34Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.93$930.00
09-01 20:29Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$204.62
09-01 20:03Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$11.16
08-28 05:08Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.97$438.44