semantics
0x8dcf7e03c1e09d0c25e7b6fecc9825bce6215668
- Realised P&L
- $-81.20
- Volume
- $202.4k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $16.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.767Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.5kat 0.637Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
- +$413.11at 0.658Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
- +$323.02at 0.669Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$279.64at 0.691Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:52 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.773 | $77.30 |
| 09-18 10:44 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.773 | $38.65 |
| 09-18 09:26 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.397 | $3.97 |
| 09-18 09:25 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.398 | $7.96 |
| 09-18 09:23 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 09:04 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.772 | $37.76 |
| 09-18 08:53 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.773 | $38.65 |
| 09-18 08:51 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.772 | $23.16 |
| 09-18 08:48 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.763 | $16.09 |
| 09-18 08:41 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.764 | $76.40 |
| 09-17 20:21 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 20:19 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 20:17 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-17 20:01 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 09-17 17:48 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $290.63 |