zZzzZZzzz1
0x8cb59265db373c26cbf27ddd16d5caff69cd8685
- Realised P&L
- $-6.3k
- Volume
- $321.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,808
- Open portfolio
- $8.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,808
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.835 | $1.7k | −$190.00 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.690 | 0.835 | $1.7k | +$290.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.892 | 0.971 | $1.2k | +$94.60 |
| Brex IPO before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.987 | $1.1k | +$20.60 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.815 | 0.850 | $1.0k | +$42.00 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.945 | $945.00 | +$25.00 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.045 | $196.99 | −$1.6k |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.162 | $161.50 | −$113.50 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No | 0.958 | 0.988 | $93.86 | +$2.85 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.890 | 0.818 | $91.85 | −$8.15 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$780.58at 0.803Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$755.18at 0.864Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$535.24at 0.732Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$450.00at 0.550Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$425.07at 0.816Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 01:07 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $583.29 |
| 08-17 23:39 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $870.00 |
| 08-17 23:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.9k |
| 07-19 02:34 | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.68 | $299.20 |
| 07-14 20:08 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $200.00 |
| 07-04 17:00 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $920.00 |
| 06-16 12:16 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.924 | $184.80 |
| 06-16 12:15 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9159039824 | $149.95 |
| 06-16 12:14 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.86188882 | $861.89 |
| 06-16 12:13 | Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.9202205059 | $285.95 |
| 06-16 12:11 | Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.914 | $27.42 |
| 06-13 18:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.4k |
| 06-12 22:43 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.97 | $970.00 |
| 06-04 23:36 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $975.00 |
| 06-04 23:34 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.994 | $199.79 |