Po1yBot-wfDDVt3EQS
0x8ca40fa0a0c2d5a145bc307382b329fcf9d47e83
- Realised P&L
- $-91.60
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $160.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.71at 0.107US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$54.98at 0.150Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$37.73at 0.048Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
- +$26.01at 0.150Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. New Mexico State Aggies
- +$21.97at 0.290Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:19 | Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $5.96 |
| 09-09 06:04 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | BUY | 0.9629999987 | $3.83 |
| 09-03 20:39 | Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.9539999845 | $1.85 |
| 09-03 00:15 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.05 |
| 09-02 22:04 | Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.907999988 | $5.75 |
| 09-01 19:42 | Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-01 10:35 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20.5B by September 30? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 11:49 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.972 | $0.66 |
| 08-26 22:28 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999911 | $7.90 |
| 08-26 10:39 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.52 | $7.32 |
| 08-23 04:37 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.9650394737 | $0.73 |
| 08-22 14:34 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.9679999103 | $6.30 |
| 08-20 21:15 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 10:59 | Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.89 |
| 08-15 18:05 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |