PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x.4a514

0x8c2aee57a3602fbda1027b4165f73c08845638d0

Realised P&L
$161.61
Volume
$17.0k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.905$508.43+$8.43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.8330.805$483.48−$16.52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.9330.465$249.21−$250.79
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31? · No0.9060.956$210.90+$10.90
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.9180.573$124.87−$75.13
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? · Yes0.8340.052$7.48−$112.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? · No0.8400.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 22:20Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?SELL0.8480838631$510.89
09-11 00:41Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?SELL0.956$0.26
08-28 15:49Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?SELL0.9576905053$203.55
08-28 13:38Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9568967683$1.0k
08-24 14:50Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9772650743$567.91
08-22 09:41Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9000842503$534.17
08-13 05:08Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?BUY0.9061263097$200.00
08-13 05:00Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.832507433$500.00
08-12 17:10Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$1000.00
08-12 17:07Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999998$500.00
08-12 17:00Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9409573988$200.00
08-12 14:56Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.9329654403$500.00
08-12 11:45Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.8299999988$500.00
08-12 11:18Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.9177541335$200.00
08-12 10:45Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 10 2026?BUY0.9409148048$200.00