abze
0x8c0ddefb3ad5c6b2bdd08c581404aeca27c59d95
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $7.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.10at 0.460Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?
- +$115.32at 0.880Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
- +$104.51at 0.540Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
- +$100.00at 0.870China x India military clash by December 31?
- +$92.81at 0.560US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 03:55 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $81.00 |
| 07-07 16:00 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $197.00 |
| 04-18 02:51 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 03-24 09:58 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.10 |