PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hyperaster

0x8bda5162364c40385926f30607bb4349b0d7f001

Realised P&L
$-168.54
Volume
$18.3k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3200.940$564.00+$372.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7000.835$250.50+$40.50
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No0.8700.961$192.20+$18.20
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8700.960$95.95+$8.95
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6100.425$42.50$18.50
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.8140.000$0.00$122.10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00$77.45
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$32.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$7.90
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 19? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00$181.96
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? · Yes0.5760.000$0.00$230.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:46Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.92$82.80
07-15 20:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.881$88.10
07-15 20:25Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.317$16.51
07-14 21:41Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.61$61.00
07-14 21:39Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.582$58.20
07-14 21:39Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.228$22.80
06-30 22:36Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.807$322.80
06-20 23:25Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.070266$7.03
05-19 16:48Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.32$192.00
03-26 20:48Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.78$31.20
02-06 00:26MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.88$1.1k
02-05 21:02Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.0050134403$2.51
10-30 13:00Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?SELL0.02$2.00
10-23 13:47Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?SELL0.78$156.00
10-23 13:47Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.05$5.00