starziu
0x8ba8853fb705b4d5243872ade59bdc3e561e37d0
- Realised P&L
- $-54.56
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $155.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.25at 0.764Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$5.69at 0.828Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?
- +$5.27at 0.247Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?
- +$5.23at 0.780Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
- +$4.43at 0.114Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Steelers vs Browns game?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 09:55 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.36 |
| 10-03 05:47 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 05:11 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $10.91 |
| 10-03 00:13 | Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.68 |
| 10-01 20:59 | Will Trump say "Reagan" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.26 |
| 10-01 13:17 | Will Trump say "Budget" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.6712423616 | $3.84 |
| 10-01 13:14 | Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.6299999663 | $5.98 |
| 10-01 09:26 | Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Steelers vs Browns game? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-01 06:36 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $8.18 |
| 09-30 16:49 | Will Trump say "ICE" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? | BUY | 0.3099999605 | $2.04 |
| 09-30 15:25 | Will Trump say "ICE" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? | BUY | 0.2899999773 | $2.43 |
| 09-30 12:19 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 11:40 | Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | BUY | 0.5599999843 | $2.86 |
| 09-30 10:05 | Will Trump say "Truck" or "Trucker" 20+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.74 |
| 09-30 09:18 | Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Steelers vs Browns game? | BUY | 0.3899999989 | $3.50 |